Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.