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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sekulic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

 Even without last season's Golden Boot winner, we expect to see a relatively comfortable victory for the Pigeons on Sunday as they possess as much depth as any team in MLS, while the Fire have had some miserable defensive displays in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
76.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06) 14.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 9.02% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.17 -0.17)33.58% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.193 -0.19)55.39% (0.184 0.18)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)7.26% (0.046 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.68% (-0.133 -0.13)26.31% (0.123 0.12)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)80.94% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 76.32%
    Chicago Fire 9.02%
    Draw 14.65%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 6.85% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Chicago Fire
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
3-4
NY City
Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Parks (16'), Tinnerholm (53'), Ring (75')
Sands (37'), Callens (83')
Pineda (45+2')
Frankowski (42'), Calvo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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