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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sekulic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

 Even without last season's Golden Boot winner, we expect to see a relatively comfortable victory for the Pigeons on Sunday as they possess as much depth as any team in MLS, while the Fire have had some miserable defensive displays in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
76.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06) 14.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 9.02% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.17 -0.17)33.58% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.193 -0.19)55.39% (0.184 0.18)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)7.26% (0.046 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.68% (-0.133 -0.13)26.31% (0.123 0.12)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)80.94% (0.068999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 76.32%
    Chicago Fire 9.02%
    Draw 14.65%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 6.85% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Chicago Fire
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
3-4
NY City
Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Parks (16'), Tinnerholm (53'), Ring (75')
Sands (37'), Callens (83')
Pineda (45+2')
Frankowski (42'), Calvo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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