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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-0 Chicago Fire

 Neither side are in good form at the moment, but we expect that home field will tip the scales in the favour of Atlanta. The Fire should be a tough team to break down defensively once again, however they invite a lot of pressure into their third of the field, and we expect the Five Stripes to eventually find a way to score and end their current winless skid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
67.16%19.04%13.8%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64%11.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94%36.06%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17%41.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72%78.28%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 67.15%
    Chicago Fire 13.8%
    Draw 19.04%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.43%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 9.01%
0-0 @ 4.75%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 19.04%
0-1 @ 4.14%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
2-0
Atlanta
Herbers (7'), Beric (39')

Mo (85')
Sep 19, 2020 8.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Chicago Fire
Mar 21, 2020 7.30pm
Chicago Fire
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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