Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.