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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net so far, so we expect goals at both ends in this one. That said, the visitors boast a significantly superior defence, and we are backing them to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
58.22% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21) 22.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 19.52% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.32% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.168 -0.17)45.2% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (-0.161 -0.16)67.55% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)15.22% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.234 -0.23)43.88% (0.235 0.23)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.1% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 58.22%
    Philadelphia Union 19.52%
    Draw 22.25%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 58.22%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
21.7%
Draw
30.4%
Philadelphia Union
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
Nov 25, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
0-2
New England

Przybylko (36'), Wagner (73')
Buksa (26'), Buchanan (30')
Polster (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Philadelphia
2-0
New England
Santos (42'), Burke (69')
Andres Martinez (86')

Farrell (31'), Bunbury (55'), Caldwell (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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