Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.