Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.