Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portland Timbers in this match.