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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Dallas
1 - 1
Houston

Obrian (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ulfarsson (85')
Gasper (25'), Escobar (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Vancouver
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-0 Houston Dynamo

Given Dallas' impressive home record and Houston's woeful record on the road, it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for the hosts. We are tipping the home team to claim all three points in a relatively comfortable manner.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawHouston Dynamo
61.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 16.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12%51.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73.63%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55%16.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.14%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.11% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 61.4%
    Houston Dynamo 16.02%
    Draw 22.57%
DallasDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 13.42%
2-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 5.79%
4-0 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 61.4%
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Ulfarsson (70'), Hadebe (90+11')
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (27'), Ferreira (90+4')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Dallas
2-1
Houston
Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')
Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 33
Houston
3-2
Dallas
Dorsey (5'), Picault (20'), Quintero (59' pen.)
Valentin (40')
Obrian (86', 90+4')
Schon (90+6')
Aug 22, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 28
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Picault (25' pen.), Vera (72')
Urruti (82'), Ceren (90+1')
Burgess (54'), Pepi (58')
Cerrillo (15'), Schon (30'), Acosta (65'), Hedges (83')
May 8, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 5
Dallas
1-1
Houston
Obrian (42')
Bressan (34'), Obrian (54'), Acosta (82')
Picault (34' pen.)
Rodriguez (44'), Vera (44'), Corona (46')
rhs 2.0
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