Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 Seattle Sounders
Every streak has to end at some point, and as much as the Sounders have struggled with the altitude in Utah, this is a different group than a year ago, and Schemtzer is resourceful enough to come up with a tactical approach that fits the players available.
RSL are much sharper at home than on the road, but consistency has been a problem, and we expect them to have difficulties finding openings against a well-drilled and organised Rave Green backline.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 50.59% . A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 24.56% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.12%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (7.33%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood .
Result Real Salt Lake Draw Seattle Sounders 50.59% ( -0.12) 24.85% ( 0.02) 24.56% ( 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.04)
49.57% ( 0.01) 50.43% ( -0.01)
27.63% ( 0) 72.36% ( -0)
80.06% ( -0.05) 19.94% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.91% ( -0.08) 52.09% ( 0.08)
64.8% ( 0.09) 35.2% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.05% ( 0.09) 71.95% ( -0.1)
Real Salt Lake 50.58%
Seattle Sounders 24.56%
Draw 24.84%
Real Salt Lake Draw Seattle Sounders 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.58% 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.84% 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.56%
How you voted: Salt Lake vs Seattle
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Seattle Sounders
12
rhs 2.0
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