Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
61.43% ( 0.15) | 21.29% ( -0.02) | 17.28% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( -0.15) | 44.49% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( -0.15) | 66.86% ( 0.15) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( 0) | 13.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.53% ( -0) | 41.46% ( 0.01) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% ( -0.25) | 39.21% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% ( -0.23) | 75.92% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |