Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
61.43% ( 0.15) | 21.29% ( -0.02) | 17.28% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( -0.15) | 44.49% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( -0.15) | 66.86% ( 0.15) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( 0) | 13.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.53% ( -0) | 41.46% ( 0.01) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% ( -0.25) | 39.21% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% ( -0.23) | 75.92% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |