Major League Soccer
Jul 1, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 28' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 42' yellowcard
  • Tom Edwards 51' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 82' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 83' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 89' goal
  • yellowcard Amar Sejdic 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 45'+3'
  • goal Josef Martinez 75'
  • yellowcard Rocco Rios Novo 82'

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 26, 2022 8.00pm
Los Angeles 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 48.85% (-0.76)
Draw 26.11% (+0.39)
Atlanta United 25.04% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.57% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.01% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 54.99% (+1.20)
Over 3.5 23.73% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 76.26% (+1.00)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (-0.84)
Under 0.5 22.54% (+0.84)
Over 1.5 43.87% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 56.13% (+1.26)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 62.71% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 37.29% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 25.93% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 74.07% (+0.34)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 48.85%
Draw 26.11%
Atlanta United 25.04%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.52% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.41% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.11%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 8.29% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 6.09% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.04%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patryk Klimala 52' yellowcard
  • Sean Nealis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 11'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Jun 27, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Santiago Sosa 65' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Edwards 22'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 69'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 85'
  • yellowcard Amro Tarek 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Oct 10, 2020 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Emerson Hyndman 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Caden Clark 48'
  • yellowcard Sean Davis 52'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Aug 30, 2020 11.30pm
Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2020 1.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
  • Franco Escobar 42' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Valot 4'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
May 16, 2020 6.00pm