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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Araujo (4'), Martinez (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mota (25')
Mota (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 Inter Miami

 Momentum would suggest that Inter Miami should win this one. However, we are going with the Five Stripes because of their solid play at home, combined with how passive the Herons have been on the road. Josef Martinez looked good returning from injury in their previous encounter, and if he is healthy, that is a big part of their offence, which should lift their spirits tremendously. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
63.22% (0.363 0.36) 21.06% (-0.112 -0.11) 15.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.121 0.12)13.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.238 0.24)41.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (-0.309 -0.31)42.22% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.266 -0.27)78.63% (0.265 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.21%
    Inter Miami 15.72%
    Draw 21.05%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.72%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
67.6%
Draw
17.6%
Inter Miami
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Campana (28'), Duke (64')
Mabika (55'), Yedlin (74'), Marsman (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Cisneros (13')
Lennon (17')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
2-1
Inter Miami
Araujo (59'), Martinez (74')
Walkes (21'), Guzan (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
Higuain (32' pen.)
Figal (24'), Gonzalez Pirez (37'), Chapman (55'), Leerdam (57'), Higuain (67')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Inter Miami
Martinez (78' pen.)

Gonzalez Pirez (24'), Matuidi (34'), Gibbs (48'), Chapman (89')
May 9, 2021 6pm
Inter Miami
1-1
Atlanta
Morgan (77')
Gregore (6'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Chapman (80'), Azcona (90+4')
Martinez (9')
Moreno (22'), Lopez (62'), Torres (90')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
1-1
Atlanta
Shea (80')
Trapp (90')
Mulraney (83')
Remedi (8'), Lennon (49'), Jahn (69'), Wyke (86')
rhs 2.0
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