We said: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta United
Atlanta have developed a habit of tallying early, though they have struggled to maintain that intensity away from home for 90 minutes.
For Toronto, they tend to react well and have shown more potency in the final third, so we expect if they suffer a setback, they will be able to recover.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.