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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 52.31%
    CF Montreal 21.8%
    Draw 25.87%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')
Corbo (27'), Iliadis (53'), Choiniere (59')
Iliadis (65')

Edelman (2'), Duncan (62'), Reyes (71')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 25
Montreal
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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