We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls have developed a habit of drawing far too many games, while Philadelphia Union have been particularly disappointing on their travels this season, still yet to pick up an away win in any competition.
With both sides struggling to put a solid run of form together, the most likely outcome on Saturday is a draw.
How to watch
You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.