Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.