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Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
St Louis City

Vancouver
3 - 0
St Louis City

White (58'), Berhalter (82'), Laryea (90+6')
Gauld (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lowen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-2 DC United
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 4-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 St Louis City

 These are the two highest-scoring teams in the Western Conference, and on that artificial turf at BC Place, we have every reason to believe there will be plenty of chances on both sides so we could see our share of goals. On the opposite side, though, neither have been particularly sharp on the back end of late, so we expect to see a stalemate on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Vancouver Whitecaps vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
65.96% (-0.00099999999999056 -0) 19.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 14.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 53.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69%11.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 65.95%
    St Louis City 14.79%
    Draw 19.25%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16%
4-0 @ 4.21%
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.31%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 4.19%
0-1 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.79%

How you voted: Vancouver vs St Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps
31.3%
Draw
18.8%
St Louis City
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-1
Vancouver
Lowen (10'), Blackmon (45' og.), Perez (90+4')
Nerwinski (20'), Parker (23'), Stroud (60'), Blom (86')
White (83')
Berhalter (49'), Gressel (90+3'), Gauld (90+4')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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