Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.