Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Nashville SC
Although Sporting Kansas City are still outside the playoff places, they have been one of the best sides in the Western Conference over the past 20 matches, and we expect them to get the job done on Wednesday night.
Nashville SC have been in terrible form, winning just one of their last nine MLS games, and they have not won on their travels since the beginning of June, so we think it will be a relatively comfortable victory for the hosts.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.06% . A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.56% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.88%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.72%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood .
Result Sporting Kansas City Draw Nashville SC 59.06% ( 0.02) 22.37% ( 0.02) 18.56% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.14)
52.9% ( -0.15) 47.1% ( 0.16)
30.66% ( -0.14) 69.34% ( 0.14)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
84.41% ( -0.04) 15.59% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.43% ( -0.08) 44.57% ( 0.09)
60.74% ( -0.13) 39.26% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.04% ( -0.13) 75.96% ( 0.13)
Sporting Kansas City 59.06%
Nashville SC 18.56%
Draw 22.37%
Sporting Kansas City Draw Nashville SC 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.06% 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 22.37% 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.56%
How you voted: Kansas vs Nashville
Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Nashville SC
Sporting Kansas City
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference
Western Conference
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