We said: Toronto 2-1 Columbus Crew
Injuries to some key players have plagued Toronto early on this season, but their new centre-backs seem to be well-equipped to handle the dangerous Columbus attackers, while Johnson showed last week that he is still an elite keeper, so we expect that he and the TFC home crowd will power them to victory.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.