We said: Toronto 1-1 Columbus Crew
Both teams have lacked consistency so far this season but they will each view Thursday's fixture as a good opportunity to claim maximum points and begin a strong run of form.
However, with little to separate these two evenly-matches sides, a score draw could be on the cards at BMO Field.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.