Major League Soccer

Mar 31, 2024 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
3 - 2
Portland

Gauld (2'), Picault (29'), Raposo (87')
Cubas (51'), Adekugbe (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Evander (52'), Mora (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Salt Lake
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Portland Timbers

Both sides are coming off difficult matches last week, but with Cubas likely to be back in the Caps midfield, we expect them to do a better job of slowing down the Timbers in transition, which should enable them to create more chances when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Portland Timbers
52.13% ( 0.03)	24.2% ( -0.01)	23.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41% (

0.03)

48.58% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

0.03)

70.71% (

-0.03)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

0.03)

18.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

0.05)

49.9% (

-0.05)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02%

34.98% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

71.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 52.12%

Portland Timbers 23.67%

Draw 24.19%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.67%