Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 0
Portland

Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Houston
Tuesday, March 12 at 10pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Portland Timbers

Despite failing to pick up a victory so far this season, Houston have been competitive in each fixture, and we feel that a maiden success for the Dynamo is just around the corner. Portland needed some last-minute heroics in the Bronx to secure three points last time out, but we feel that Neville's side will be unable to repeat the trick in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Portland Timbers
51.41% ( 0.63)	24.07% ( -0.23)	24.52% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

0.62)

47.27% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

0.57)

69.49% (

-0.57)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

0.48)

18.39% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.47% (

0.81)

49.53% (

-0.81)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

-0.01)

33.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0)

70.15% (

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 51.4%

Portland Timbers 24.52%

Draw 24.06%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.4%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.52%