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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Portland Timbers

Houston
1 - 0
Portland

Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Houston
Tuesday, March 12 at 10pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Despite failing to pick up a victory so far this season, Houston have been competitive in each fixture, and we feel that a maiden success for the Dynamo is just around the corner. Portland needed some last-minute heroics in the Bronx to secure three points last time out, but we feel that Neville's side will be unable to repeat the trick in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
51.41% (0.626 0.63) 24.07% (-0.229 -0.23) 24.52% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.616 0.62)47.27% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.568 0.57)69.49% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (0.479 0.48)18.39% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (0.805 0.81)49.53% (-0.805 -0.81)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 51.4%
    Portland Timbers 24.52%
    Draw 24.06%
Houston DynamoDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Houston vs Portland

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Portland Timbers
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland
Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')
Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 28
Houston
0-2
Portland
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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