National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 1Chester
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chester FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: York City 2-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
29.59% ( -6.6) | 25.66% ( -0.16) | 44.74% ( 6.76) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% ( -1.06) | 50.48% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% ( -0.95) | 72.41% ( 0.95) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( -4.78) | 31.24% ( 4.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( -5.95) | 67.59% ( 5.95) |
Chester FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 2.95) | 22.51% ( -2.95) |