Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Boston
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Blyth Spartans | 3 | -3 | 1 |
23 | Boston United | 3 | -4 | 1 |
24 | Farsley Celtic | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Bradford Park Avenue | 3 | -1 | 2 |
21 | Chorley | 3 | -1 | 2 |
22 | Blyth Spartans | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Boston United | Draw | Chorley |
29.67% ( 0.5) | 27.34% ( 0.04) | 42.99% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.01% ( 0.05) | 56.98% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% ( 0.04) | 77.88% ( -0.04) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.42% ( 0.41) | 34.58% ( -0.41) |