Curzon Ashton

3 - 0

Hereford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.