National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford1 - 0Brackley Town
Ceesay (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Brackley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Brackley Town |
40.72% ( -3.64) | 27.49% ( -0.78) | 31.79% ( 4.42) |
Both teams to score 48.66% ( 4.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.14% ( 4.32) | 56.86% ( -4.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.22% ( 3.34) | 77.78% ( -3.35) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 0.08) | 27.4% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 0.1) | 62.88% ( -0.11) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( 5.74) | 32.96% ( -5.74) |