National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Brackley Town2 - 1Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Brackley Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Gloucester City | 7 | -2 | 9 |
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Chester FC | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Hereford United | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Buxton | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Hereford United |
48.52% ( 0.42) | 26.88% ( -0.2) | 24.6% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
