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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Stadium

Cheshunt
1 - 2
Oxford City

Beckles (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (44'), William-Bushell (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Cheshunt and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford City in this match.

Result
CheshuntDrawOxford City
25.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 23.27% (-0.055 -0.05) 51.71% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (0.169 0.17)43.3% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (0.166 0.17)65.69% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.022000000000006 0.02)30.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.26% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.11399999999999 0.11)16.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (0.199 0.2)46.75% (-0.199 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Cheshunt 25.02%
    Oxford City 51.71%
    Draw 23.27%
CheshuntDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.02%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.77% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.71%

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