Fleetwood3 - 1Oxford City
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
for
We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Oxford City
Oxford City will fancy their chances of causing an upset against a side three divisions above them, but Fleetwood will be regarded as firm favourites for this contest in front of their own fans and they should have few problems in securing a routine victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford City |
41.81% ( -0.03) | 24.59% ( -0.01) | 33.6% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
