National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet4 - 1Concord Rangers
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Concord Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Concord Rangers |
81.26% ( 0.16) | 12.7% ( -0.09) | 6.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.11) | 35.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.95% ( 0.12) | 58.05% ( -0.12) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.22% ( 0.06) | 6.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.15) | 25.03% ( -0.15) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.15) | 54.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.46% ( -0.09) | 87.54% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet 81.25%
Concord Rangers 6.04%
Draw 12.7%
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Concord Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 81.25% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 12.7% | 0-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.04% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
