Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.