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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Southend United

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 33.95%
    Southend United 41.12%
    Draw 24.92%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.12%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
1-2
Southend
Mooney (68')
Murphy (1'), Dalby (34')
Demetriou (45'), Phillips (80'), Lopata (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Yeovil TownYeovil26106103230236
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
11AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
12Eastleigh2581163533235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2617181962-4310


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