Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.