Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
63.96% ( 0.05) | 19.89% ( -0.04) | 16.14% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( 0.14) | 40.23% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% ( 0.14) | 62.6% ( -0.14) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.08% ( 0.05) | 11.92% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.73% ( 0.12) | 37.26% ( -0.12) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.06) | 38.01% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.06) | 74.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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