Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.