Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
35.22% ( -0.33) | 24.22% ( -0.12) | 40.55% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% ( 0.54) | 42.17% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.42% ( 0.53) | 64.57% ( -0.54) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.07) | 23.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( 0.1) | 57.72% ( -0.11) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% ( 0.44) | 20.93% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.34% ( 0.69) | 53.66% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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