Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
44.75% ( 0.01) | 23.78% ( 0.02) | 31.47% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.69% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( -0.07) | 41.22% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( -0.08) | 63.61% ( 0.08) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.31% ( -0.03) | 18.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.96% ( -0.04) | 50.03% ( 0.04) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.05) | 25.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( -0.07) | 60.15% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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