Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
46.73% ( 0.51) | 23.59% ( -0.07) | 29.67% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 60.32% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% ( 0.05) | 41.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% ( 0.05) | 63.67% ( -0.05) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% ( 0.22) | 17.91% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.29% ( 0.38) | 48.71% ( -0.38) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -0.27) | 26.53% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( -0.36) | 61.73% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |