Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Eastleigh |
58.33% ( 0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) | 19.41% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.67% ( -0.01) | 45.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.33% ( -0.01) | 67.67% ( 0.01) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% | 15.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.11% | 43.89% ( 0) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -0.02) | 37.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.02) | 74.08% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.32% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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