Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
44.59% ( -2.17) | 23.39% ( 0.56) | 32.02% ( 1.61) |
Both teams to score 62.39% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.9% ( -1.92) | 39.1% ( 1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.57% ( -2.04) | 61.43% ( 2.05) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( -1.58) | 17.9% ( 1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% ( -2.8) | 48.7% ( 2.81) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( 0.03) | 24% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( 0.04) | 58.25% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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