Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Boreham Wood |
43.88% ( -0.87) | 25.05% ( -0.05) | 31.07% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.81% ( 0.64) | 47.2% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.57% ( 0.59) | 69.43% ( -0.58) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -0.13) | 21.52% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -0.2) | 54.58% ( 0.2) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 0.95) | 28.56% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 1.17) | 64.35% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Boreham Wood |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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