Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.