Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.