Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
36.75% ( -1.44) | 24.87% ( 0.5) | 38.38% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.92% ( -2.4) | 45.08% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% ( -2.35) | 67.43% ( 2.34) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -1.84) | 24.14% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -2.68) | 58.45% ( 2.68) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.59) | 23.28% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.87) | 57.21% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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