Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
25.72% ( -5.24) | 23.02% ( -1.05) | 51.26% ( 6.29) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% ( 1.32) | 41.52% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% ( 1.33) | 63.92% ( -1.32) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( -2.99) | 29.47% ( 2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -3.81) | 65.47% ( 3.81) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 2.95) | 16.3% ( -2.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.12% ( 5.09) | 45.88% ( -5.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.91) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.9) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.53) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.79) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.57) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.6) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
> National League Full Table |