Oxford City

5 - 2

Hartlepool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.