Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.