Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
34.16% ( -0) | 23.61% | 42.23% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( 0) | 39.43% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.22% ( 0) | 61.77% ( -0) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( 0) | 22.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( 0) | 56.71% ( -0) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.97% ( 0) | 19.02% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.4% ( 0) | 50.59% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.41% Total : 42.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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